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  • Julian Talbot

Bow-Tie of Christmas

Ah, the bow-tie model, the beloved tool of risk management professionals everywhere. But what happens when this trusty tool is applied to the chaotic and unpredictable world of Christmas?

As anyone who has survived a holiday season knows, Christmas is a time of merriment, gift-giving, and, let's be real, a lot of stress. There are so many variables at play, from finding the perfect gift for that one relative who is impossible to shop for, to navigating the crowds at the mall, to dealing with in-laws who just don't understand your need for a "Star Wars" tree topper.

And that's just the beginning. What about the risks associated with cooking a holiday feast? There's the risk of overcooking the turkey, the risk of setting off the smoke alarms with the roast potatoes, and the risk of accidentally spilling eggnog all over the new carpet.

But fear not, dear reader, for the bow-tie model is here to save the day! By breaking down the risks into their component parts, we can take a structured approach to managing the madness of Christmas.

First, let's consider the gift-giving risk. Using the bow-tie model, we can identify the hazard (not finding a good gift), the likelihood (high, if you have that one picky relative), and the consequences (disappointing said relative, causing family tension). By taking the time to brainstorm gift ideas and shop early, we can mitigate this risk and avoid the hazard of a last-minute panicked gift purchase.

Next, let's look at the risk of crowds and traffic while shopping. Here, the hazard is getting stuck in a traffic jam or fighting for the last Tickle Me Elmo on the shelf. To mitigate this risk, we can try shopping online, or go to the mall during off-peak hours to avoid the crowds.

And what about the risks associated with cooking the holiday feast? By planning ahead, making a detailed shopping list, and following recipes carefully, we can reduce the risk of overcooking the turkey or setting off the smoke alarms. As for the risk of spilling eggnog on the carpet, well, maybe just stick to water this year.

So there you have it, a humorous look at how the bow-tie model can be applied to the unpredictable and chaotic world of Christmas. By breaking down the risks and taking a structured approach to managing them, we can enjoy a stress-free holiday season.

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