We are programmed to seek certainty wherever we can. Some people (we call them forecasters or influencers) seek fame and fortune by selling certainty as a product. I've you've read my article that talks about the Dunning-Kruger effect, you'll know what I think of such overconfidence. A better solution is to have a good handle on some risk management strategies and be resilient. The Scout motto of 'be prepared' is good advice.
Risk management was probably never a simple thing. Perhaps a few hundred thousand years ago when all we had to worry about were food and physical safety. But even that doesn't sound very easy.
In the 21st century, the world is ever more complex and interconnected. Risk is pervasive, but it's becoming more challenging than ever to analyze and manage. In this presentation, I talk about risks we currently face and some of the dangers which are just around the corner.
The video presentation is one that I gave at the Risk-In conference last year. Enjoy.
If you'd like to discuss some of these ideas in more detail or find out how to apply them in your situation, feel free to drop me a line. During the month of February, I'm offering a free 15-minute one-on-one consultation to the first ten people to contact me via this link.
These are the PowerPoint slides from the presentation. Feel free to adapt and use for your own cunning purposes.
There are a few more presentations under the DOWNLOADS menu at this page.